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Aquino to the Communists: More Carrot, Less Stick
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10027 |
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Section : |
CURRENT ISSUES
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Date : |
4 / 1986 |
1,573 Words |
| Author
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David Rosenberg
David Rosenberg, professor of political science at Middlebury
College, is the author of Marcos and Martial Law in the
Philippines. |
Despite the overwhelming popularity of Philippine President Corazon C. Aquino, her government faces a serious challenge by the communist insurgency.
The New People's Army now has over 15,000-armed guerrillas and a larger number of part-time irregulars. These forces are fighting on as many as 60 fronts around the country. The NPA reportedly has shadow governments in 10 to 15 percent of the country's villages. Some level of NPA activity now exists in almost all of the country's 73 provinces. It has supplied its guerrillas almost entirely with weapons captured, and occasionally purchased, from the Philippine Armed Forces.
U.S. intelligence estimates that, up to 1986, the NPA was growing at a rate of 20 percent a year, constrained by the shortage of arms and money, not recruits.
The growing Philippine communist insurgency was a major factor in the downfall of former President Ferdinand E. Marcos. He was found to be "unable and unlikely to make the necessary reforms to slow or halt the insurgency" and had only "about three years to effects fundamental reforms" to head off an all-out civil war," according to a U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence Staff Report.
Committee chairman Dave Durenberger urged Marcos to resign and make way for free and fair elections to choose the next Philippine president. This prompted Marcos to call for an early "snap election" to demonstrate his popular support and his ability to handle the growing insurgency.
Corazon
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