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Two Westminster-Style Caudillos Vie for the Future
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13591 |
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Section : |
CURRENT ISSUES
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4 / 1988 |
4,039 Words |
| Author
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Howard J. Wiarda
Howard J. Wiarda is professor of political science at the
University of Massachusetts at Amherst, professor national
security studies at the National Defense University, and
visiting scholar at the Center for Strategic and International
Studies (CSIS). He was lead consultant to the National
Bipartisan (Kissinger) Commission on Central America and is
the author of Rift and Revolution: The Central American
Imbroglio and The Democratic Revolution in Latin America. |
EDWARD SEAGA: Edward Seaga is a good man, a clever politician, and a first-rate prime minister; however, Jamaica is a difficult country to govern. Violence and racial tensions are again on the rise, and Seaga was not able to attract the investment capital that he had hoped for under the vaunted Caribbean Basin Initiative (CBI).
Seaga's popularity has been slipping--as it almost inevitably would for any elected leader over an eight-year period. Jamaicans have by now forgotten how disastrous Manley's earlier rule was. The stage is therefore set for an electoral showdown between the two.
Seaga and Manley may be looked on as the two great caudillos, or men-on-horseback, of modern Jamaican politics. These are, however, caudillos who vie in the electoral arena, not the military one. Jamaica, after all, is a former British, not Spanish, colony, and its form of government stems from the Westminster model, not the barracks. Nevertheless, the rival caudillo image is appropriate: two longtime rivals, both self-important, competitors not just for elected office, but in terms of their ideas, for the hearts and minds of their peoples and for the future of their country. In this high-stakes drama, both have their machismo at risk as well. And with its rising tension, violence, and potential for conflict, Jamaica could be on its way to becoming a Latin American country.
Right Honorable Edward Philip George Seaga was born in Boston on May 28, 1930. His father was a successful Jamaican travel agent. His parents were of Lebanese, Scottish, and Jamaican ancestry. Seaga attended the Wolmers Boys School in Kingston and received a bachelor of arts in social
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