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Winds of Change in North Korea


Article # : 17693 

Section : CURRENT ISSUES
Issue Date : 6 / 1990  3,282 Words
Author : Selig S. Harrison
Selig S. Harrison, a senior associate of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, has specialized in South Asian affairs and American policy problems in Asia for forty years as a foreign correspondent and author. He served as AP correspondent in New Delhi from 1951 to 1954, returning as South Asia bureau chief of the Washington Post from 1962 to 1965, and Northeast Asia bureau chief from 1968 to 1972. A former managing editor of the New Republic, he has served as senior fellow in charge of Asian studies at the Brookings Institution, senior fellow at the East-West Center, and professional lecturer in Asian studies at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.

       Seemingly impervious to the winds of change form Eastern Europe, Kim II Sung retains his firm grip on North Korea after four decades. But even in Pyongyang, one of the last bastions of Stalinism, pressures are building up for domestic reform and for an end to the North's costly confrontation with South Korea and the United States.
       
        The popular hunger for more and better consumer goods is forcing the communist regime to pursuer two closely related goals: (1) a rapid influx of advanced industrial technology, facilitated by an economic opening to the West, and (2) a reduction of defense spending that would permit a diversion of scarce resources and labor to light industries.
       
        Pyongyang is making increasingly explicit proposals to Seoul and Washington for an arms control agreement that would link phased reductions in to armed forces of the North and South with a parallel withdrawal of U.S. forces. These overtures have been accompanied by a significant reversal of earlier proposals for a unitary form of unification. Pyongyang now talks of a permanent confederation in which the South's capitalist system would remain inviolate and the two "regions" would retain tier separates armies.
       
        Koreans on both sides of the 38th parallel are watching the movement toward German unification with special fascination. The two situations are not directly comparable because the German drama is now unfolding so rapidly. But West German Chancellor Helmut Kohl's initial proposal last year for "confederative structures" intensified a debate over the terms of Korean confederation that has been raging for the past year not only between Pyongyang and Seoul but also ... (1996 of 20343 Characters)
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